Projection based on uniform swing

Numbers based on MEPs currently in office (some Ukip MEPs have defected since the 2009 election). Parties have been classed as "others" if they have fewer than 10 MEPs. The addition of a seat in the West Midlands means the number of MEPs being elected will increase to 73 in this parliament (although the 73rd MEP was already allocated in 2011).

Source: PollWatch/ComRes/The Guardian
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